MJAMR

Interest Rates and its Impact on Stock Prices among Small Scale Enterprises: An Empirical Evidence of Kampala District

Irumba Alex, Ntirandekura Moses


Abstract

Interest rate changes influence the stock market performance of companies through valuation and investment channels. However, empirical evidence of this relationship on small businesses remains limited in Uganda. This study investigated the impact of interest rate fluctuations on stock prices of small enterprises listed on the Uganda Securities Exchange using time series data from 2007 to 2021. Multiple regression analysis was conducted on SPSS and STATA while controlling for inflation, GDP growth and exchange rate variations. The findings revealed that a rise in interest rates significantly decreased stock prices as firms faced higher financing costs. Additionally, inflation negatively affected stock prices whereas GDP growth and exchange rate depreciation had positive influences. This unstandardized coefficient accounted for the variability in stock prices not explained by other variables in the model. Furthermore, the standardized coefficient (Beta) for interest rates was 0.688, indicating a strong positive relationship between interest rates and stock prices. This standardized coefficient allowed for a comparison of the relative importance of different predictor variables in influencing the dependent variable, stock prices, while considering their respective scales. The conclusions drawn were that prudent monetary policy tailored to support small enterprises could optimize their utilization of the capital markets for growth. In order to most effectively support small and medium enterprises to pragmatically leverage existing capital market channels as strategic tools optimizing necessary asset financing, several policy recommendations can be delineated.

Keywords

Interest rates inflation rate and stock prices
Metropolitan Journal of Academic Multidisciplinary Research

Cite This Article

Irumba Alex & Ntirandekura Moses (2024). Interest Rates and its Impact on Stock Prices among Small Scale Enterprises: An Empirical Evidence of Kampala District. Metropolitan Journal of Academic Multidisciplinary Research, 3(4). https://journals.miu.ac.ug/pages/article.php?article_id=1115

More in This Issue

View full issue →
16
Inventory Management Strategy and its Impact on Production Efficiency: An Empirical Evidence of Mukwano Manufacturing Industries
Dr Arinaitwe Julius
Inventory Management Strategy Production Efficiency Lead Time and Supplier Performance
18
Manpower Training And Development In Ishongororo Town Council, Ibanda District
Nabukenya Mariam, Kabanda Richard
Manpower staff Training and Development
19
Marketing And Tourism Promotion In Uganda: A Case Study Of Uganda Tourism Board (UTB)
Nantenza Hafiswah, Ahumuza Audrey
Marketing communities And Tourism Promotion
20
Mchango Wa Utendaji Kazi Wa Walimu Katika Ujifunzaji Wa Lugha Ya Kiswahili Katika Shule Zilizoteuliwa Wilayani Ntungamo
Ainembabazi Ezra, Mukoyani Geofrey
Mchango Utendaji kazi wa walimu Lugha ya Kiswahili Ujifunzaji na shule